نوع مقاله : مقاله مروری
نویسندگان
گروه شهرسازی، دانشکده معماری و شهرسازی، دانشگاه هنر اصفهان، اصفهان، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Today, pilgrimage cities are increasingly challenged by large-scale urban interventions initiated by local governments to provide infrastructure and services for pilgrims and tourists. These interventions, while often well-intentioned, have led to significant disruptions in these urban areas' religious and spiritual identity. This study presents a qualitative systematic review with a futures studies orientation, utilizing a layered methodological approach that combines Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) with qualitative content analysis. Causal Layered Analysis (CLA), employed here as an innovative theory/method within the field of futures studies, enables deep investigation into the underlying and often obscured layers of problematic interventions in the urban fabric surrounding religious shrines. The analysis is conducted across four levels: litany, systemic, worldview, and metaphor.The core aim of this research is to unpack the various influential layers affecting interventions in the areas surrounding shrines, in order to develop alternative future scenarios. Following the identification of key drivers, a scoring process was conducted using a cross-impact matrix based on influence and unpredictability, leading to the selection of two critical uncertainties: the “pilgrimage–tourism dichotomy” and “governance system.” These two dimensions, framed by opposing poles—pilgrimage-oriented vs. tourism-oriented, and centralized vs. participatory governance—served as the axes of the Schwartz two-axis scenario planning model.Using this framework, the study formulates four alternative future scenarios: “Preserving Sanctity within the Framework of Authority,” “Integrating Spirituality and Innovative Governance,” “Forced Commercialization,” and “Global Pilgrimage City.” By reframing the core problem through CLA and analyzing past, present, and future uncertainties, the study offers a forward-looking framework for more culturally sensitive and spiritually grounded planning in the context of pilgrimage cities. Moving toward the scenario of integrating spirituality with innovative governance within a participatory framework can serve as a strategic option for policymakers, urban managers, and planning authorities in addressing identity crises, the commodification of space, and the challenges posed by mass tourism.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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